Presidential elections · 2000–2024
Merced County, CA — Presidential Election Results (2000–2024)
In 2024, Merced County, California voted for Donald J. Trump (Republican) by R+4.4 — 40,190 Democratic to 43,955 Republican of 86,392 votes cast. From 2020 to 2024 it shifted 15.0 points toward Republicans. That makes it 24.5 points more Republican than California overall (D+20.1).
Data: MIT Election Data & Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse.
Margin by election, 2000–2024
Democratic minus Republican, in points of all votes cast — blue bars Democratic, red Republican.
Every election in Merced County
| Year | Democratic | Republican | Other | Dem share | Rep share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40,190 | 43,955 | 2,247 | 46.5% | 50.9% | R+4.4 |
| 2020 | 48,991 | 39,397 | 2,166 | 54.1% | 43.5% | D+10.6 |
| 2016 | 37,317 | 28,725 | 4,747 | 52.7% | 40.6% | D+12.1 |
| 2012 | 33,005 | 27,581 | 1,471 | 53.2% | 44.4% | D+8.7 |
| 2008 | 34,031 | 28,704 | 1,073 | 53.3% | 45.0% | D+8.3 |
| 2004 | 24,491 | 32,773 | 681 | 42.3% | 56.6% | R+14.3 |
| 2000 | 22,726 | 26,102 | 1,590 | 45.1% | 51.8% | R+6.7 |
Merced County presidential elections — FAQ
Who carried Merced County in the 2024 presidential election?+
Donald J. Trump (Republican) carried Merced County, California in 2024 by R+4.4, with 86,392 votes cast. Data: MIT Election Data & Science Lab.
How did Merced County shift between 2020 and 2024?+
Merced County shifted 15.0 points toward Republicans between 2020 (D+10.6) and 2024 (R+4.4).
Is Merced County more Democratic or Republican than California overall?+
In 2024, Merced County went R+4.4 while California overall went D+20.1 — 24.5 points more Republican than the state.
Where does this election data come from?+
County-level presidential returns (2000–2024) come from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL), published on the Harvard Dataverse. pumsdata is an independent product that makes the data easy to map and compare, and is not affiliated with MEDSL or Harvard.