Presidential elections · 2000–2024
Caroline County, VA — Presidential Election Results (2000–2024)
In 2024, Caroline County, Virginia voted for Donald J. Trump (Republican) by R+8.8 — 7,957 Democratic to 9,511 Republican of 17,653 votes cast. From 2020 to 2024 it shifted 4.6 points toward Republicans. That makes it 14.6 points more Republican than Virginia overall (D+5.8).
Data: MIT Election Data & Science Lab, Harvard Dataverse.
Margin by election, 2000–2024
Democratic minus Republican, in points of all votes cast — blue bars Democratic, red Republican.
Every election in Caroline County
| Year | Democratic | Republican | Other | Dem share | Rep share | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7,957 | 9,511 | 185 | 45.1% | 53.9% | R+8.8 |
| 2020 | 7,657 | 8,336 | 295 | 47.0% | 51.2% | R+4.2 |
| 2016 | 6,432 | 7,147 | 1,284 | 43.3% | 48.1% | R+4.8 |
| 2012 | 7,276 | 6,151 | 225 | 53.3% | 45.1% | D+8.2 |
| 2008 | 7,163 | 5,617 | 139 | 55.4% | 43.5% | D+12.0 |
| 2004 | 4,878 | 4,999 | 77 | 49.0% | 50.2% | R+1.2 |
| 2000 | 4,314 | 3,873 | 164 | 51.7% | 46.4% | D+5.3 |
Caroline County presidential elections — FAQ
Who carried Caroline County in the 2024 presidential election?+
Donald J. Trump (Republican) carried Caroline County, Virginia in 2024 by R+8.8, with 17,653 votes cast. Data: MIT Election Data & Science Lab.
How did Caroline County shift between 2020 and 2024?+
Caroline County shifted 4.6 points toward Republicans between 2020 (R+4.2) and 2024 (R+8.8).
Is Caroline County more Democratic or Republican than Virginia overall?+
In 2024, Caroline County went R+8.8 while Virginia overall went D+5.8 — 14.6 points more Republican than the state.
Where does this election data come from?+
County-level presidential returns (2000–2024) come from the MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL), published on the Harvard Dataverse. pumsdata is an independent product that makes the data easy to map and compare, and is not affiliated with MEDSL or Harvard.